Iceberg phenomenon

Phase: Phase 2 Subject: Community MedicineSubject: General Medicine Updated: 2026-02-21 Reviewed: Dr ________

Key takeaways

The iceberg phenomenon explains why the visible, clinically detected cases are only a small fraction of the true burden of disease; most disease remains hidden as subclinical or undiagnosed illness.

Definition

Iceberg phenomenon means the clinically apparent (visible) cases are only the “tip” of the iceberg, while a larger proportion of disease remains hidden below the surface as:
– subclinical disease
– undiagnosed disease
– mild disease not presenting to health services

Components of the iceberg

Tip (visible):
– diagnosed cases
– hospital admissions
– notified cases

Submerged (hidden):
– asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic cases
– unreported cases
– undetected cases in the community

Public health implications

  • True burden is underestimated if we rely only on facility data.
  • Surveillance and screening are needed to detect hidden cases.
  • Programme planning and resource allocation must consider undetected disease.
  • Health education and risk communication should target apparently “healthy” people too.

Examples

  • TB: latent infection and subclinical cases vs notified TB
  • Diabetes/HTN: asymptomatic disease vs diagnosed cases
  • COVID-19: asymptomatic infections vs detected cases (especially early waves)

Mini-Exam Box

5-line answer (Short note)

Iceberg phenomenon describes how the visible, clinically detected cases are only a small part of total disease burden; most cases remain hidden as subclinical/undiagnosed disease. It implies facility data underestimates true burden. Therefore, surveillance, screening and community surveys are important. Planning must consider hidden morbidity. Examples include HTN/diabetes and latent TB.

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